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For those reasons our calculations have used Elo ratings until 2000, a system which incorporates factors such as margin of victory, importance of match and home advantage in its ranking of international football teams. It is a more advanced model than Fifa’s, even though it is not used as widely.

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Pre 2006 Italy lost to Slovenia; pre 2002 Brazil lost six of their 18 games and finished in the fourth of four automatic qualifying positions; pre 1990 West Germany won half of their games and only qualified as one of the best runners up.

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The average age of the players making up World Cup winning squads has remained largely consistent since 1950, it is about 26 years old.

The oldest winners were Italy in 2006, with 10 players aged 29 or older, including 36 year old Angelo Peruzzi, and an average age of 28.2 in the squad. The youngest winners were Brazil in 1970, who had five players aged 20 or under and nobody over 30. Their squad’s average age was just 24.4.

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By this logic, Brazil and Spain could both struggle this summer, with both their squads averaging 28 years of age. Argentina’s 23 man squad is even older, with an average age of 28.7 years. Portugal’s is slightly younger at 27.8.

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